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What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 21% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.3k
SELL No @ 79¢ · 13,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xfc2f…10c7 took No (sell) for $10.3k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 21% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 20.9%
- Size
- $10.3k
- Placed
- Feb 19, 16:45 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xfc2f…10c7
- Tx
- 0x96349bcd…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-25.3 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.3k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $291.8k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.0k | excluded |