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What this means. A wallet put $54.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 10% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$54.2k
SELL No @ 90.3¢ · 60,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)3.3× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet 0xfc2f…10c7 took No (sell) for $54.2k at an average 90.3¢. At that price the market implied a 10% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $54.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 90.3¢
- Implied odds
- 9.7%
- Size
- $54.2k
- Placed
- Jun 19, 23:14 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xfc2f…10c7
- Tx
- 0x9553e33b…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-25.3 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -10 ptsNo price · entry 90.3¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $65.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |