0xce83…5b97

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?+$231No · avg 86¢ → 93.8¢ · $2,656 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in October?+$81No · avg 89¢ → 92.2¢ · $2,641 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?−$10Yes · avg 85¢ → 84¢ · $2,290 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?+$134No · avg 88¢ → 93.4¢ · $2,134 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?+$15Yes · avg 89¢ → 90¢ · $2,015 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?−$1,020No · avg 83¢ → 52¢ · $1,655 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?+$195No · avg 86¢ → 98.5¢ · $1,595 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in October?−$76No · avg 86¢ → 82¢ · $1,518

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$32.1k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$29.4k

Last 30 days −$2,818 · $821.3k volume · 2,192 trades · since Mar 17, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 484 closed

+$47.3k

Open P&L · 62 positions

−$17.7k

Closed-position win rate

83%

484 closed

Wallet age · markets

221d

543 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$20.9k	0%	86d ago	excluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$11.2k	0%	109d ago	excluded

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$20.9k

LOW 0xce83…5b97 · 86d ago

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$11.2k

LOW 0xce83…5b97 · 109d ago

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