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hymolu

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +8.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+8.4 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$380.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±27.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$134.5k
Last 30 days +$8,165 · $2.76M volume · 1,615 trades · since Jun 10, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$120.1k
Open P&L · 8 positions
+$15.2k
Closed-position win rate
63%
73 closed
Wallet age · markets
136d
56 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other110.9+8.4 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ $15.3k1% 66d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $36.5k0% 75d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?LOW BUY No @ 91.6¢ $45.8k92% 91d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $65.7k0% 109d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% 109d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $14.2k0% 112d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $35.6k0% 113d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ $50.0k1% 117d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?MED SELL No @ 94¢ $47.0k6% 124d agomissed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW BUY No @ 80¢ $35.9k80% 134d agocalled
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $14.3k93% 135d agocalled

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