← Wallets
−$10No · avg 87¢ → 86¢ · $951+$6No · avg 96.1¢ → 97.8¢ · $391
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +2.8 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+2.8 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$38.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.3 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$4,335
Last 30 days +$574 · $4.75M volume · 808 trades · since Mar 13, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$16.2k
Open P&L · 13 positions
−$11.8k
Closed-position win rate
79%
56 closed
Wallet age · markets
226d
61 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 1 | 0.9 | +2.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW BUY No @ 90.7¢ | $13.6k | called |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 96.4¢ | $24.5k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xc381f8…