← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $24.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 4% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$24.5k
SELL No @ 96.4¢ · 25,374 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet DessertFalcon took No (sell) for $24.5k at an average 96.4¢. At that price the market implied a 4% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $24.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96.4¢
- Implied odds
- 3.6%
- Size
- $24.5k
- Placed
- Apr 23, 23:59 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- DessertFalcon
- Tx
- 0xe827e704…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+2.8 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -4 ptsNo price · entry 96.4¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $42.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $86.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |