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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 37% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.1k
SELL No @ 63¢ · 15,869 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletOther
What happened
Wallet F8888 took No (sell) for $10.1k at an average 63¢. At that price the market implied a 37% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $10.1k+0
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 63¢
- Implied odds
- 36.5%
- Size
- $10.1k
- Placed
- Apr 18, 06:18 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- F8888
- Tx
- 0x3e0a3ff4…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-36.5 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -37 ptsNo price · entry 63¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $42.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $86.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |