← Wallets
+$5,348No · avg 85¢ → 97.5¢ · $43.0k−$450Yes · avg 93¢ → 91.5¢ · $27.4k+$3,796No · avg 68¢ → 97.2¢ · $12.6k−$68No · avg 82¢ → 82¢ · $12.2k+$1,119No · avg 88¢ → 97¢ · $12.1k+$12No · avg 91¢ → 91.5¢ · $2,142+$119Yes · avg 71¢ → 78¢ · $1,251+$22Yes · avg 88¢ → 93.2¢ · $401
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +11.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+11.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$641.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$82.2k
Last 30 days +$2,050 · $3.74M volume · 2,767 trades · since Nov 17, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$89.7k
Open P&L · 19 positions
+$2,366
Closed-position win rate
69%
277 closed
Wallet age · markets
341d
269 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +13.0 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +9.0 pts |
History
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