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yen4u

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will GameStop acquire eBay?+$2,213No · avg 87¢ → 94¢ · $28.9kWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$1,000No · avg 88¢ → 91.5¢ · $25.1kWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?+$177No · avg 81¢ → 82¢ · $16.6kWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?+$10.4kNo · avg 31¢ → 91¢ · $15.8kStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?+$11.4kNo · avg 19¢ → 88¢ · $14.5k · 1 proven with, 0 againstKash Patel out by December 31?+$883No · avg 74¢ → 80¢ · $11.9kWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?+$2,403No · avg 65¢ → 86¢ · $9,819US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?+$397Yes · avg 88¢ → 92¢ · $9,299
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$358.4k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$121.7k
Last 30 days +$29.0k · $9.48M volume · 11,072 trades · since Mar 25, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$293.1k
Open P&L · 189 positions
−$328.4k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
213d
2091 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢ $11.3k1% 69d agoexcluded
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ $14.7k99% 96d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 94.8¢ $12.9k95% 130d agoexcluded
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% 141d agoexcluded
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $26.9k100% 142d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $33.7k100% 172d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $15.0k0% 179d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $11.0k0% 179d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $17.6k100% 181d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $33.7k100% 185d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ $44.4k
2.2× usual
99% 192d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $77.5k
3.9× usual
100% 198d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ $19.8k99% 199d agoexcluded
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $19.8k0% 199d agoexcluded
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?excluded
SELL No @ 98.9¢$11.3k
LOW yen4u · 69d ago
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.3¢$14.7k
LOW yen4u · 96d ago
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?excluded
BUY Yes @ 94.8¢$12.9k
LOW yen4u · 130d ago
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$20.0k
LOW yen4u · 141d ago
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$26.9k
LOW yen4u · 142d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded
BUY No @ 99.9¢$33.7k
LOW yen4u · 172d ago
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.7¢$15.0k
LOW yen4u · 179d ago
Netanyahu out by April 30?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$11.0k
LOW yen4u · 179d ago
Netanyahu out by April 30?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$17.6k
LOW yen4u · 181d ago
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$33.7k
LOW yen4u · 185d ago
Trump out as President by April 30?excluded
BUY No @ 99.3¢$44.4k
LOW yen4u · 192d ago
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$77.5k
LOW yen4u · 198d ago
US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99¢$19.8k
LOW yen4u · 199d ago
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$19.8k
LOW yen4u · 199d ago

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