← Wallets
+$1,899No · avg 80¢ → 88¢ · $20.4k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$1,983No · avg 85¢ → 97.4¢ · $15.2k+$1,120No · avg 85¢ → 94.5¢ · $11.5k+$537No · avg 79¢ → 83¢ · $11.1k+$287Yes · avg 87¢ → 90¢ · $8,739+$336Yes · avg 64¢ → 66¢ · $8,113 · 2 proven with, 0 against−$268No · avg 90.5¢ → 86¢ · $5,818+$185No · avg 87¢ → 90.5¢ · $5,517
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.0 wins, so it did -3.1 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-3.1 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$217.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$90.6k
Last 30 days +$8,809 · $1.09M volume · 763 trades · since Mar 08, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$93.1k
Open P&L · 48 positions
−$3,377
Closed-position win rate
69%
95 closed
Wallet age · markets
230d
134 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $10.4k | called |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 98.8¢ | $24.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $11.5k | called |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 84¢ | $20.6k | called |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $10.2k | missed |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | MED SELL No @ 96.9¢ | $27.5k | missed |
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