← Wallets
+$1,166No · avg 70¢ → 78¢ · $11.8k+$371Yes · avg 86¢ → 90¢ · $8,950+$940No · avg 86¢ → 97.8¢ · $8,074+$75No · avg 72¢ → 74¢ · $3,675+$275Yes · avg 59¢ → 64¢ · $3,225+$978Yes · avg 56¢ → 82¢ · $3,075−$304Yes · avg 84¢ → 76¢ · $3,060+$27No · avg 97.5¢ → 98.4¢ · $2,952
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.2 wins, so it did -5.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-5.4 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
2.2
Flagged volume
$268.4k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$120.5k
Last 30 days −$5,385 · $30.38M volume · 30,688 trades · since Oct 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$534.2k
Open P&L · 60 positions
−$6,923
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
388d
1599 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 2 | 1.7 | +8.9 pts |
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -48.2 pts |
History
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