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What this means. A wallet put $15.8k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.8k
SELL Yes @ 53¢ · 30,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Warren-Buffett took Yes (sell) for $15.8k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 47.4%
- Size
- $15.8k
- Placed
- Apr 17, 13:00 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Warren-Buffett
- Tx
- 0x71ccc07b…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-5.4 pts
expected 2.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $42.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $86.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |