← Wallets
−$24Harmony Tan · avg 61¢ → 59¢ · $708+$241Lotte Giants · avg 55¢ → 90¢ · $627
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +9.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+9.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$24.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$183.0k
Last 30 days −$10.9k · $6.99M volume · 23,801 trades · since May 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$302.1k
Open P&L · 376 positions
−$131.3k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
527d
5736 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +9.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $10.9k | called |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xe54d37…