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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -21.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-21.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$12.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±40.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$1,390
Last 30 days +$0 · $157.7k volume · 491 trades · since May 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$1,390
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
72%
89 closed
Wallet age · markets
881d
72 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -21.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $12.6k | missed |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x16699fa1f506b803e822a51fb7487da91bb6bf28"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x16699fa1f506b803e822a51fb7487da91bb6bf28.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x16699f…