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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +6.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+6.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$69.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$13.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $200.7k volume · 29 trades · since Mar 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$13.9k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
75%
8 closed
Wallet age · markets
212d
8 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +6.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢ | $19.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $13.4k | called |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $11.6k | called |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8ee5b5…