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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$2.08M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$35.9k
Last 30 days +$0 · $18.84M volume · 3,631 trades · since Feb 03, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$35.9k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
90%
41 closed
Wallet age · markets
262d
39 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | MED BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $408.4k | excluded |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $53.0k | excluded |
 Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $769.1k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31? | MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $480.5k | excluded |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $40.3k | excluded |
 US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $326.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xeeb8c4…