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What this means. A wallet put $40.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$40.3k
BUY No @ 99.5¢ · 40,460 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet Meso- took No (buy) for $40.3k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $40.3k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−19900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 99.5%
- Size
- $40.3k
- Placed
- Feb 28, 05:19 EST
- Market close
- Feb 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Meso-
- Tx
- 0x1cd1bb6e…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $72.4k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | LOW BUY No @ 94.8¢ | $10.8k | called |