pemul1s

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?+$3,905No · avg 83¢ → 95¢ · $30.8k New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? +$1,147No · avg 90.9¢ → 97.7¢ · $16.5k Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?+$1,348No · avg 73¢ → 93.5¢ · $6,031

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$107.3k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$11.1k

Last 30 days −$213 · $689.3k volume · 312 trades · since Jan 29, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$4,756

Open P&L · 3 positions

+$6,399

Closed-position win rate

79%

66 closed

Wallet age · markets

268d

69 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Netanyahu out by April 30?	LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢	$11.9k	0%	178d ago	excluded
Netanyahu out by April 30?	LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢	$10.2k	99%	195d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$15.3k	100%	199d ago	excluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢	$14.9k	100%	200d ago	excluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$14.3k	100%	235d ago	excluded
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$14.2k	100%	236d ago	excluded
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$15.0k	0%	238d ago	excluded
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$11.4k	0%	240d ago	excluded

Netanyahu out by April 30?excluded

SELL No @ 99.7¢$11.9k

LOW pemul1s · 178d ago

Netanyahu out by April 30?excluded

BUY No @ 98.8¢$10.2k

LOW pemul1s · 195d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$15.3k

LOW pemul1s · 199d ago

US forces enter Iran by April 30?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$14.9k

LOW pemul1s · 200d ago

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$14.3k

LOW pemul1s · 235d ago

Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$14.2k

LOW pemul1s · 236d ago

Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$15.0k

LOW pemul1s · 238d ago

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$11.4k

LOW pemul1s · 240d ago

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