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What this means. A wallet put $15.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?called
$15.3k
BUY No @ 96¢ · 15,954 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet AdrianCronauer took No (buy) for $15.3k at an average 96¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2400American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
96¢
Implied odds
96.0%
Size
$15.3k
Placed
Apr 23, 04:16 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
AdrianCronauer
Tx
0x8fb865bb…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+12.6 pts
expected 5.1 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +4 pts
No price · entry 96¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 96¢ · $15.3k WHALE $15.3K @ 96¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $23.6k0% Melqui165d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.0k0% ComingBack165d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $42.7k
2.1× usual
0% e88888165d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $16.6k0% Z67166d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $86.0k
2.4× usual
0% refzer166d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.1k0% 0xb11a…3ae9166d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$23.6k
LOW Melqui · 165d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$24.0k
LOW ComingBack · 165d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$42.7k
LOW e88888 · 165d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$16.6k
LOW Z67 · 166d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$86.0k
LOW refzer · 166d ago
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$11.1k
LOW 0xb11a…3ae9 · 166d ago