← Wallets
−$59Yes · avg 36¢ → 4.5¢ · $8
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$34.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$619.9k
Last 30 days −$3 · $5.57M volume · 642 trades · since Sep 10, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$618.3k
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$1,609
Closed-position win rate
49%
43 closed
Wallet age · markets
774d
44 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW SELL No @ 95.8¢ | $11.2k | missed |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | LOW BUY No @ 95.7¢ | $10.3k | called |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xdf5c03…