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What this means. A wallet put $298.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +12.8 pts vs the price over 34 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$298.1k
BUY No @ 99.6¢ · 299,257 shares
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet12.9× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet GoriIIa took No (buy) for $298.1k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $298.1k+3
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.6¢
- Implied odds
- 99.6%
- Size
- $298.1k
- Placed
- Apr 28, 17:53 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- GoriIIa
- Tx
- 0x2a4c3203…
This wallet's graded record
32/34+12.8 pts
expected 27.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $42.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $86.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |