← Wallets
−$354Yes · avg 38¢ → 22¢ · $461+$92No · avg 32¢ → 74¢ · $162−$276Yes · avg 34¢ → 9.7¢ · $110−$10No · avg 40¢ → 36¢ · $97+$8No · avg 89¢ → 97.5¢ · $91+$6No · avg 92¢ → 98.7¢ · $86−$104Yes · avg 36¢ → 16¢ · $85−$172Yes · avg 18¢ → 5.1¢ · $67
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did +56.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+56.1 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$11.2k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$55.5k
Last 30 days +$4,413 · $13.30M volume · 30,750 trades · since Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$384.5k
Open P&L · 61 positions
−$9,699
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
1304d
2022 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +56.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW BUY No @ 44¢ | $11.2k | called |
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