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What this means. A wallet put $89.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+6.5 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$89.6k
BUY No @ 98.4¢ · 91,009 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet2.5× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet aff3 took No (buy) for $89.6k at an average 98.4¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $89.6k+1
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−6286American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.4¢
- Implied odds
- 98.4%
- Size
- $89.6k
- Placed
- Apr 25, 03:10 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aff3
- Tx
- 0xabd1cabd…
This wallet's graded record
22/23+6.5 pts
expected 20.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 98.4¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $42.7k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $86.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |