← Wallets
+$2,930No · avg 79¢ → 88¢ · $29.6k−$5,693Yes · avg 16¢ → 1.6¢ · $629−$744No · avg 64¢ → 15¢ · $219
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +7.4 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+7.4 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$79.1k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±20.1 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$6,613
Last 30 days −$93 · $7.22M volume · 9,771 trades · since Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$34.4k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$38.8k
Closed-position win rate
52%
153 closed
Wallet age · markets
543d
146 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 3 | 2 | 1.8 | +7.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW SELL Yes @ 24¢ | $30.4k | called |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $18.2k | called |
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.3¢ | $17.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 89¢ | $13.1k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2b76c1…