← Wallets
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +29.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+29.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$185.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±45.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$84.0k
Last 30 days −$0 · $2.27M volume · 1,775 trades · since Apr 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$84.0k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
63%
214 closed
Wallet age · markets
192d
179 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +29.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $49.7k | excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢ | $49.5k | excluded |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $46.3k | missed |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $10.3k | called |
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x20d919b88e1cede2093f6a9cfc94734c2ad95490"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x20d919b88e1cede2093f6a9cfc94734c2ad95490.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x20d919…