← Wallets
+$1,724No · avg 90¢ → 97.8¢ · $21.7k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did -22.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-22.7 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$58.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±29.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$28.2k
Last 30 days +$378 · $193.4k volume · 10 trades · since Mar 19, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$6,838
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$34.2k
Closed-position win rate
83%
6 closed
Wallet age · markets
220d
8 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -57.0 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +11.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $35.9k | missed |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $23.0k | called |
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