← Wallets
+$8,524Yes · avg 62¢ → 91.5¢ · $26.5k+$1,920Yes · avg 87¢ → 96.2¢ · $19.2k−$1,975Yes · avg 84¢ → 76¢ · $19.1k+$875No · avg 70¢ → 74¢ · $18.4k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$1,298No · avg 90¢ → 98.7¢ · $14.8k+$3,425No · avg 57¢ → 78¢ · $13.2k+$300Yes · avg 62¢ → 64¢ · $12.7k+$1,665No · avg 81¢ → 97.7¢ · $9,765
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$736.5k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$444.2k
Last 30 days −$95.2k · $83.26M volume · 154,304 trades · since Aug 12, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$3.75M
Open P&L · 120 positions
−$20.3k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
803d
13962 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $46.7k | excluded |
 Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW BUY Team Spirit @ 70¢ | $70.0k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY Team Liquid @ 62¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | LOW BUY Iron Wing @ 43¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | LOW BUY Team Yandex @ 46¢ | $22.9k | excluded |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $329.1k 7.2× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $29.7k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ | $44.6k | excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $66.9k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $99.8k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
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