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deah12

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did -29.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-29.7 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.3
Flagged volume
$32.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±45.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$14.6k
Last 30 days −$756 · $1.10M volume · 1,893 trades · since Nov 16, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$89.9k
Open P&L · 15 positions
−$75.0k
Closed-position win rate
75%
36 closed
Wallet age · markets
343d
51 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Other100.3-29.7 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsLOW BUY PARIVISION @ 77¢ $11.4k77% 184d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?MED SELL No @ 70¢ $21.1k30% 186d agomissed

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9c1648…