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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 12% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.1k
BUY Yes @ 12¢ · 83,954 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x1caa…46a0 took Yes (buy) for $10.1k at an average 12¢. At that price the market implied a 12% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 12¢ means
12%chance the market gave
+733American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 12¢
- Implied odds
- 12.0%
- Size
- $10.1k
- Placed
- Mar 22, 00:42 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x1caa…46a0
- Tx
- 0x9fe5eac5…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-18.5 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $71.7k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |