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What this means. A wallet put $14.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.5k
SELL No @ 96.6¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x073a…8e8b took No (sell) for $14.5k at an average 96.6¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96.6¢
- Implied odds
- 3.4%
- Size
- $14.5k
- Placed
- Apr 02, 23:34 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x073a…8e8b
- Tx
- 0xd0d1f8c5…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+92.5 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $71.7k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |