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What this means. A wallet put $55.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?called
$55.4k
BUY No @ 88¢ · 62,974 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)2.5× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet tutrucks took No (buy) for $55.4k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $55.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 88¢ means
88%chance the market gave
−733American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
88¢
Implied odds
88.0%
Size
$55.4k
Placed
Mar 21, 17:25 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tutrucks
Tx
0x920dddcf…
This wallet's graded record
3/4-16.7 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $71.7k
3.3× usual
0% Anjun177d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% pantomime177d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.4k0% OkieDokiePeon177d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% duderr178d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% RememberAmalek178d agoexcluded