0x841f…bbd0

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?+$113Yes · avg 62¢ → 69¢ · $1,113 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$55Yes · avg 64¢ → 68¢ · $1,055 · 1 proven with, 0 against Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?−$8Yes · avg 89¢ → 88¢ · $492 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?−$27Yes · avg 85¢ → 80¢ · $473 Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027?+$0Yes · avg 3¢ → 3.1¢ · $6

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$13.7k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$2,958

Last 30 days +$541 · $332.8k volume · 362 trades · since Dec 10, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$6,539

Open P&L · 28 positions

−$3,501

Closed-position win rate

81%

91 closed

Wallet age · markets

318d

118 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢	$13.7k	98%	192d ago	excluded

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excluded

BUY No @ 98.5¢$13.7k

LOW 0x841f…bbd0 · 192d ago

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