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+$88Yes · avg 58¢ → 71¢ · $488
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -10.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-10.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$70.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±30.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$5,793
Last 30 days +$122 · $970.5k volume · 300 trades · since Oct 12, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$6,057
Open P&L · 36 positions
−$12.3k
Closed-position win rate
78%
138 closed
Wallet age · markets
378d
165 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -10.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 90¢ | $10.5k | missed |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $26.3k | excluded |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $33.8k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x766b26…