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What this means. A wallet put $10.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excluded
$10.9k
BUY No @ 97.6¢ · 11,118 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet tsekinming01 took No (buy) for $10.9k at an average 97.6¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4067American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
97.6¢
Implied odds
97.6%
Size
$10.9k
Placed
Apr 11, 03:21 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tsekinming01
Tx
0x5a464fca…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-1.7 pts
expected 1.0 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $71.7k
3.3× usual
0% Anjun176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% pantomime176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.4k0% OkieDokiePeon176d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.1k0% duderr177d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% RememberAmalek177d agoexcluded