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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$625.1k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$10.5k
Last 30 days +$0 · $5.56M volume · 2,501 trades · since Jul 12, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$10.5k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
87%
115 closed
Wallet age · markets
834d
115 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $71.3k | excluded |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $71.3k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $69.2k | excluded |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $71.9k | excluded |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $61.1k | excluded |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $30.8k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 97.2¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $71.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $71.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.2¢ | $71.0k | excluded |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.1k | excluded |
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