← Wallets
−$299Yes · avg 66¢ → 65¢ · $19.5k+$1,328Yes · avg 83¢ → 91.5¢ · $14.3k+$2,535No · avg 74¢ → 90.5¢ · $13.6k+$741No · avg 76¢ → 82¢ · $10.8k+$1,836No · avg 78¢ → 96.7¢ · $9,278+$537No · avg 89¢ → 94.5¢ · $8,808+$551No · avg 80¢ → 86¢ · $8,037−$400Yes · avg 80¢ → 75¢ · $6,772
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.7 wins, so it did +13.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+13.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.7
Flagged volume
$88.7k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$16.7k
Last 30 days +$960 · $1.02M volume · 2,317 trades · since Dec 15, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$71.4k
Open P&L · 38 positions
−$53.2k
Closed-position win rate
91%
109 closed
Wallet age · markets
313d
144 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.7 | +13.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | LOW BUY No @ 89¢ | $22.2k | called |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | MED BUY No @ 85¢ | $66.4k | called |
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