← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $41.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$41.6k
SELL No @ 98.4¢ · 42,250 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)2.6× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet tetrose took No (sell) for $41.6k at an average 98.4¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $41.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.4¢
- Implied odds
- 1.6%
- Size
- $41.6k
- Placed
- Apr 19, 16:10 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tetrose
- Tx
- 0x4202e7c8…
This wallet's graded record
7/14+1.6 pts
expected 6.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -2 ptsNo price · entry 98.4¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $71.7k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |