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+$8No · avg 93.4¢ → 98.2¢ · $157−$674No · avg 83¢ → 11¢ · $104
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$49.8k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$16.2k
Last 30 days −$4,215 · $2.07M volume · 4,023 trades · since Oct 18, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 455 closed
+$16.2k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$685
Closed-position win rate
72%
455 closed
Wallet age · markets
1102d
438 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 98.4¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.1¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x49ae18…