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+$6No · avg 89¢ → 90¢ · $2,119−$13No · avg 82¢ → 78¢ · $285
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.8 wins, so it did +10.5 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+10.5 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
1.8
Flagged volume
$21.5k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$12.3k
Last 30 days +$2,517 · $1.26M volume · 4,145 trades · since Sep 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$48.6k
Open P&L · 33 positions
−$11.4k
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
768d
594 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | +10.5 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $11.5k | called |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 87¢ | $10.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x952aec…