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bobe2.1

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$7.37M
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$190.6k
Last 30 days +$0 · $58.47M volume · 5,991 trades · since Apr 27, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$190.7k
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$133
Closed-position win rate
85%
54 closed
Wallet age · markets
180d
50 markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $73.8k0% 122d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ $1.54M
20.9× usual
100% 129d agoexcluded
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $257.0k
3.5× usual
100% 129d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.6¢ $55.4k0% 129d agoexcluded
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.1¢ $114.5k99% 136d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $243.0k
3.3× usual
100% 142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ $22.1k0% 142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $22.2k0% 142d agoexcluded
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $257.9k
3.5× usual
100% 143d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $34.4k99% 154d agoexcluded
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $20.8k99% 157d agoexcluded
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $11.1k99% 157d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $10.2k99% 157d agoexcluded
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?LOW BUY No @ 98.7¢ $25.3k99% 158d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢ $97.0k99% 158d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ $29.9k99% 158d agoexcluded
Will Trump visit China by May 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $33.0k100% 164d agoexcluded
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $27.8k99% 166d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $2.05M
27.8× usual
100% 177d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $998.0k
13.5× usual
100% 177d agoexcluded
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?LOW SELL No @ 98.5¢ $218.9k
3.0× usual
2% 178d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?MED SELL No @ 96.1¢ $106.8k4% 178d agomissed
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $1.12M
15.1× usual
100% 179d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?excluded
SELL No @ 99.7¢$73.8k
LOW bobe2.1 · 122d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$1.54M
LOW bobe2.1 · 129d ago
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$257.0k
LOW bobe2.1 · 129d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.6¢$55.4k
LOW bobe2.1 · 129d ago
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.1¢$114.5k
LOW bobe2.1 · 136d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$243.0k
LOW bobe2.1 · 142d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.6¢$22.1k
LOW bobe2.1 · 142d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.7¢$22.2k
LOW bobe2.1 · 142d ago
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.6¢$257.9k
LOW bobe2.1 · 143d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.4¢$34.4k
LOW bobe2.1 · 154d ago
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded
BUY No @ 99.2¢$20.8k
LOW bobe2.1 · 157d ago
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded
BUY No @ 99.2¢$11.1k
LOW bobe2.1 · 157d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.1¢$10.2k
LOW bobe2.1 · 157d ago
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?excluded
BUY No @ 98.7¢$25.3k
LOW bobe2.1 · 158d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.2¢$97.0k
LOW bobe2.1 · 158d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded
BUY No @ 99.1¢$29.9k
LOW bobe2.1 · 158d ago
Will Trump visit China by May 31?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢$33.0k
LOW bobe2.1 · 164d ago
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?excluded
BUY No @ 99¢$27.8k
LOW bobe2.1 · 166d ago
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$2.05M
LOW bobe2.1 · 177d ago
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$998.0k
LOW bobe2.1 · 177d ago
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?excluded
SELL No @ 98.5¢$218.9k
LOW bobe2.1 · 178d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?missed
SELL No @ 96.1¢$106.8k
MED bobe2.1 · 178d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excluded
BUY No @ 99.8¢$1.12M
LOW bobe2.1 · 179d ago

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