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What this means. A wallet put $97.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded
$97.0k
BUY No @ 99.2¢ · 97,843 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet bobe2.1 took No (buy) for $97.0k at an average 99.2¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $97.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−11985American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.2¢
Implied odds
99.2%
Size
$97.0k
Placed
May 19, 03:00 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
bobe2.1
Tx
0x9b9ea63e…

Entry to resolution

Grade +1 pts
No price · entry 99.2¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.2¢ · $97.0k WHALE $97.0K @ 99.2¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.0k0% MEPP146d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $36.9k
2.6× usual
0% MrNoItAll147d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k0% okcoolstorybro147d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% yogapinnacle147d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $53.1k
2.5× usual
0% Anjun147d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.2k0% 0xb121…b73c147d agoexcluded