← Wallets
+$100.5kNo · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $271.1k−$100.5kYes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $70.1k+$3,735Yes · avg 50¢ → 91.5¢ · $8,235−$85Yes · avg 66¢ → 64¢ · $1,904+$68No · avg 87¢ → 90.5¢ · $1,710−$10No · avg 64¢ → 63¢ · $630−$2,730No · avg 50¢ → 8.5¢ · $559−$282Yes · avg 59¢ → 7.5¢ · $41
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excluded
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -12.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-12.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$3.68M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±32.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$39.8k
Last 30 days −$1,549 · $15.53M volume · 11,622 trades · since Jul 04, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$260.4k
Open P&L · 24 positions
−$4,756
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
1572d
676 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -12.0 pts |
History
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excludedBUY No @ 99.6¢$89.6k
LOW okcoolstorybro · 182d ago
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?excludedBUY No @ 99.6¢$74.7k
LOW okcoolstorybro · 182d ago
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