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Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

pending?Alert me on this market
Flags
2
Net whale flow → outcome 1
−$320.1k
Price 7d ago → now
7.5¢→7.5¢
Category
Crypto

Outcome price

Drag to scrub · tap a dot for the trade · ● called ● missed ● pending ● excluded · times ET · what these mean
Live on this marketconnecting…
Loading the latest $10k+ trades from Polymarket…
Straight from Polymarket's public trade feed, refreshed every 10s while this tab is open. Grades appear after markets resolve. Information, not advice.
Smart gap
Proven money leans No at 92.5¢
Among the biggest holders: 1 proven wallet hold $31.2k of No; proven money on the other side $0, losing-record money there $0. Net +$31.2k.
Based on 1 rated wallet among the top holders. A lean, not a prediction. Information, not advice.

Biggest holders right now

Top current positions on each side from Polymarket, with our track record for each wallet. Proven = beat the price over 20+ graded $10k+ bets; losing = clearly lost to it. Untagged = no graded record with us.

Yes 7.5¢no rated wallets
  1. Berkaja$7,500
  2. D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0$6,637
  3. 0xf12d…0272$3,599
  4. gengis111$2,574
  5. truthguy$2,404
  6. Cyclewin$2,271
  7. greater-fools$2,125
  8. eNakeVets$2,017
  9. Simoz23001$1,996
  10. anon2112$1,985
  11. sizuki$1,955
  12. LlamaLoco0000$1,913
No 92.5¢1 proven · $31.2k
  1. larkspur$227.3k
  2. oegdatam$165.9k
  3. boyau$103.5k
  4. DFV2$86.9k
  5. Tokor$48.1k
  6. 0x3d1c…e45c$47.6k
  7. stokcoldbrew$41.6k
  8. Baderbet$33.2k
  9. 0x8b4b…541b PROVEN +1.0 pts$31.2k
  10. Marioy$27.7k
  11. LuckyChole$27.7k
  12. Anjun$25.6k

Value = shares × current price. Refreshed every minute. Holding a side isn't a recommendation. Information, not advice.

Who's on each side

Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.

SideAll whalesProvenLosing
No$320.1k
2 flags
 none none

No rated wallets have traded here yet, so the whale money is unrated. Information, not advice.

Flags on this market

FlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
MED BUY No @ 93¢ $228.5k
13.0× usual
93% larkspur2d agopending
LOW BUY No @ 93¢ $91.6k
4.3× usual
93% boyau2d agopending
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?pending
BUY No @ 93¢$228.5k
MED larkspur · 2d ago
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?pending
BUY No @ 93¢$91.6k
LOW boyau · 2d ago

Summary

WhaleGrader has logged 2 whale trades on this market totalling $320.1k from 2 wallets. The largest was $228.5k (buy No at 93¢). Most whale money ($320.1k) went to No. The market has not resolved yet, so no flags here are graded. The biggest whale here, larkspur ($228.5k), has called 1 of 2 graded flags overall (+5.7 pts vs price).

Market data from Polymarket (will-bitcoin-dip-to-50000-by-december-31-2026-454-325-222-878-949-487-451-853-523-111).