← Wallets
+$182Yes · avg 91.1¢ → 91.5¢ · $38.5k+$9No · avg 91.3¢ → 91.5¢ · $4,807+$126Yes · avg 78¢ → 81¢ · $3,161+$43Yes · avg 73¢ → 80¢ · $488+$22No · avg 80¢ → 88¢ · $221
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.3 wins, so it did +71.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
+71.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.3
Flagged volume
$22.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±45.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$61.6k
Last 30 days +$2,444 · $4.01M volume · 3,416 trades · since Oct 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$62.8k
Open P&L · 9 positions
−$316
Closed-position win rate
74%
155 closed
Wallet age · markets
730d
153 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.3 | +71.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $22.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb5b8eb…