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What this means. A wallet put $173.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$173.7k
BUY No @ 97.9¢ · 177,430 shares
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)2.9× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet okcoolstorybro took No (buy) for $173.7k at an average 97.9¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $173.7k+2
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4662American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.9¢
- Implied odds
- 97.9%
- Size
- $173.7k
- Placed
- May 07, 03:54 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- okcoolstorybro
- Tx
- 0xf703bc4f…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-12.0 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $36.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $53.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |