MrNoItAll

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?−$472No · avg 92.8¢ → 91.5¢ · $32.1k Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$2No · avg 91.5¢ → 91.5¢ · $13.7k Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?+$138No · avg 93.3¢ → 94.7¢ · $9,437 Will the Republican Party win the HI-02 House seat?−$10No · avg 97¢ → 96.9¢ · $9,285 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?+$96Yes · avg 90.5¢ → 91.5¢ · $8,513 Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?+$32No · avg 97¢ → 97.4¢ · $7,854 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?+$127No · avg 95.9¢ → 97.5¢ · $7,796 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?+$210Yes · avg 82¢ → 84¢ · $7,343

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$130.4k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$37.9k

Last 30 days +$2,380 · $3.31M volume · 6,682 trades · since Feb 13, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$61.3k

Open P&L · 151 positions

−$2,928

Closed-position win rate

91%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

253d

636 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	MED SELL No @ 95.9¢	$26.8k	4%	98d ago	missed
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	LOW BUY No @ 98¢	$14.0k	98%	117d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢	$11.7k	1%	130d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢	$13.8k	98%	141d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	LOW BUY No @ 97.8¢	$12.5k	98%	145d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$36.9k 2.6× usual	0%	146d ago	excluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢	$14.7k	98%	165d ago	excluded

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?missed

SELL No @ 95.9¢$26.8k

MED MrNoItAll · 98d ago

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?excluded

BUY No @ 98¢$14.0k

LOW MrNoItAll · 117d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$11.7k

LOW MrNoItAll · 130d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?excluded

BUY No @ 97.8¢$13.8k

LOW MrNoItAll · 141d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?excluded

BUY No @ 97.8¢$12.5k

LOW MrNoItAll · 145d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$36.9k

LOW MrNoItAll · 146d ago

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?excluded

BUY No @ 98.2¢$14.7k

LOW MrNoItAll · 165d ago

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