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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 3.0 wins, so it did +0.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+0.2 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
3.0
Flagged volume
$935.3k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±12.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$18.5k
Last 30 days −$2,781 · $3.44M volume · 1,056 trades · since Oct 26, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$79.1k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$93.9k
Closed-position win rate
63%
111 closed
Wallet age · markets
363d
114 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -2.8 pts |
| Economy | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +3.3 pts |
| Politics | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +3.2 pts |
History
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xb8a717fed80eab7258a9ff6ba9961908691d7674"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xb8a717fed80eab7258a9ff6ba9961908691d7674.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb8a717…