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What this means. A wallet put $25.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.1k
BUY No @ 92¢ · 27,302 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet pugdev took No (buy) for $25.1k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $25.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1150American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 92.0%
- Size
- $25.1k
- Placed
- Apr 03, 12:56 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 15, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- pugdev
- Tx
- 0x7898e948…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+0.2 pts
expected 3.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.5k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $30.1k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $52.2k | excluded |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $34.7k | excluded |