esports095

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +5.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?+$302No · avg 88¢ → 90.5¢ · $10.7k Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?+$102No · avg 95.8¢ → 97.5¢ · $5,673 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?+$343No · avg 90.8¢ → 97¢ · $5,369 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?+$56No · avg 96.2¢ → 97.8¢ · $3,530 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?+$22No · avg 98¢ → 98.8¢ · $2,842 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?+$37No · avg 97¢ → 98.4¢ · $2,694 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?−$2No · avg 96.5¢ → 96.4¢ · $1,643 Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?+$197No · avg 80¢ → 94¢ · $1,305

Price-adjusted edge

+5.0 pts

Called / graded

1/1

Expected from price

0.9

Flagged volume

$103.7k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.8 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$477.4k

Last 30 days −$5,750 · $22.72M volume · 46,121 trades · since Dec 18, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$1.48M

Open P&L · 72 positions

−$82.7k

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

675d

2237 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Other	1	1	0.9	+5.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	LOW BUY No @ 95¢	$45.4k	95%	189d ago	called
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$30.1k	100%	192d ago	excluded
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$28.3k	0%	211d ago	excluded

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?called

BUY No @ 95¢$45.4k

LOW esports095 · 189d ago

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$30.1k

LOW esports095 · 192d ago

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$28.3k

LOW esports095 · 211d ago

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