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What this means. A wallet put $10.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?excluded
$10.9k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 10,869 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteProven walletOther

What happened

Wallet ScottyNooo took No (buy) for $10.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$10.9k
Placed
Apr 15, 07:43 EDT
Market close
Apr 15, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
ScottyNooo
Tx
0xccccb209…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $10.9k WHALE $10.9K @ 99.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% anoin123191d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $17.5k100% onekey09192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $30.1k100% esports095192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $52.2k0% sameday1192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $34.7k100% The Spirit of Ukraine>UM192d agoexcluded
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $109.1k
3.0× usual
100% refzer192d agoexcluded